Egamov Mirshohid Xolmurodovich
ARIMA, SARIMA, GEV VA POT MODELLARINI O‘QITISHNING BESH BOSQICHLI PEDAGOGIK ALGORITMNING MUHANDISLIK TA’LIMIGA TATBIQ ETISHNING DIDAKTIK SHARTLARI
Аннотация
Maqolada bo‘lajak muhandislarni kasbiy faoliyatga tayyorlashda ARIMA,
SARIMA, GEV va POT kabi murakkab gidrologik-statistik modellarni o‘rgatishning besh bosqichli
pedagogik algoritmi ilmiy asosda taqdim etilgan. Algoritm motivatsion-diagnostik, konseptual-
nazariy, instrumental-amaliy, muhandislik-loyiha va refleksiv-formativ bosqichlardan iborat
bo‘lib, fundamentallik, integrativlik, kontekstuallik va progressivlik didaktik shartlar tizimiga
tayanadi. 2024–2025-yillarda Qarshi davlat texnika universitetida 144 nafar talaba (tajriba
guruh n=72, nazorat guruh n=72) ishtirokida o‘tkazilgan tajriba-sinov algoritmning yuqori
samaradorligini isbotladi: modellarni to‘g‘ri tanlash ko‘nikmasi bo‘yicha 41,3 %, muhandislik
talqini bo‘yicha 38,7 % va nostandart holatlarni hal etish bo‘yicha 29,5 % ustunlik kuzatildi
(p<0,01, Cohen d=0,82).
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